Will Pharma Outsourcing lose out to Obama’s Victory?
Posted: 11/07/2012 12:00:00 AM EST | 6
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Having come from a country which flourished as a result of US outsourcing, I for one know the pity of when those jobs which were created cease to be or go back to the country which outsourced them. I recall another US presidential visit , when Bill Clinton came to Ireland in 2000. Nicknamed the Irish hero, he did as much for the Irish economy as he did for Irish politics, as a result of the number of factories and manufacturing jobs he sent our way – hell he was the first person to drive down the new M1, before the tarmac had time to dry! Of course Irish generous tax allowances encouraged overseas firms to set up shop, which they did in great numbers.
And added to that a report by PWC; ‘The Changing Dynamics of pharma outsourcing in Asia’ cites that China could overtake the US in around 2025 to become the world’s largest economy and will continue to grow to around 130% of the size of the US by 2050. India could also grow to almost 90% of the size of the US by 2050. Such economic growth would create major pharmaceutical markets regardless.
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In my opinion, Romney would not have actively discouraged outsourcing -- he was opposed to eliminating tax breaks for companies that off-shore business -- but neither would he have encouraged it due to the political risk that would involve in this slow-growth recovery. President Obama has stated that he intends to eliminate tax breaks for off-shoring and create tax breaks for on-shoring business in the U.S. That's a different proposition. Whether the President's position is the correct one remains to be seen; I think it is correct, but results, not prognostications, are what really matter.
Pharma will continue to outsource operations to other countries. There are many reasons to do so, cost being one, but not the only, important driver of such decisions. The growing market in Asia will pretty much compel outsourcing to Asia. If Europe can't find its way out of its current economic mess, we may see Pharma pull back from European outsourcing in the near term, and perhaps for a longer period of time
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Thanks for all your comments, great that its got you engaged. From my point, Barack made his point clear when canvassing that he believes US jobs should stay in the US, so it's a policy issue rather than a personal one. I mention in the piece of my experience of coming from a country whose economy grew because of outsourcing and the effects can be devastating when those jobs are cut. But the East will still thrive whatever decisions are made.
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Hi Clare, not sure that this article can be compared to Donald Trump's somewhat sweeping commentary on the election and its outcome - all I read is a thought provoking headline (standard practice for media, I believe) and the presentation of both perspectives, US and rest of the world.
Really interesting discussion point though adn if US companies don't outsource to these emerging markets, there will be others that do. Interested to see how this impacts the pharma industry in the coming years, if at all...
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Personally, I think its a bit extreme to insinuate someone is a "national laughing stock" based on a blog/opinion-piece, which - let's face it - could only really be accused of "several counts of mild postulation" at worst.
The only lesson anyone should learn from Donald Trump is that business success, bad hair and gold-plated hotel suites doesn't make someone a political prophet.
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With all due respect, I think that the impact on outsourcing (and everything else) would have been much more severe if Romney had been allowed to take office and impose Bush-era policies that nearly sunk the US and global economies. As for blaming Obama for a J&J business decision, that's a stretch. Companies open and close offshore operations pretty frequently and in response to a variety of factors and experiences. Consider, for example the surge and waning of pharma outsources to Puerto Rico. Finally, your closing remark that growth in India and China "would create major pharmaceutical markets" is clear. However, as we have seen in the electronics industry, it is essential to guard our IP - difficult if the production is outsourced to the big market itself.
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Okay, so you should learn a lesson from Donald Trump: you make yourself a national laughingstock when you imply that the re-election of the President of the United States is a cause for alarm.
Secondly, you should spell Mr. Obama's name correctly.
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